Fivethirtyeigh

Read more about the methodology. Bull Moose Project is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party, fivethirtyeigh.

Bull Moose Project is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. Bernie Moreno is a Republican Party candidate for office. League of American Workers is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC , c 4 , c 5 or c 6 organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

Fivethirtyeigh

The team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The Michigan primary resulted in easy victories for both former president Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, but it also laid bare some discontent in both parties. Elliott Morris about Trump's and Biden's vulnerabilities within their own parties. Later in the show the crew turns its focus to Washington to discuss the looming partial government shutdown and how immigration is continuing to grow as a key issue for voters. They also question whether a recent poll using pictures of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Visit megaphone. In a late-night edition of the Politics podcast, the crew reacts to former President Donald Trump's win in South Carolina and asks what former U. Ambassador Nikki Haley's plan is going forward. Learn more about your ad choices. Both Democrats and Republicans are facing intraparty conflict over foreign policy, Democrats over the war in Gaza and Republicans over the war in Ukraine. Could these conflicts help determine who wins the presidency in November? On this episode of the Politics podcast, the crew invites Dina Smeltz, senior fellow on public opinion and foreign policy at The Chicago Council on Global Affairs, to break down how the conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine have divided the parties. They also preview the upcoming South Carolina primary race, and ask whether a recent poll of political scientists intending to create a ranking of American presidents was a good or bad use of polling.

Archived from the original on November 15, The Daily, fivethirtyeigh.

On September 18, , the original website domain at fivethirtyeight. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college , [ 1] was founded on March 7, , as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. During the presidential primaries and general election of the site compiled polling data through a unique methodology derived from Silver's experience in sabermetrics to "balance out the polls with comparative demographic data". Since the election, the site has published articles—typically creating or analyzing statistical information—on a wide variety of topics in current politics and political news. These included a monthly update on the prospects for turnover in the Senate ; federal economic policies; Congressional support for legislation; public support for health care reform , global warming legislation and LGBT rights ; elections around the world; marijuana legalization ; and numerous other topics.

In November , we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Daily Kos is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC , c 4 , c 5 or c 6 organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

Fivethirtyeigh

Read more about the methodology. Daily Kos is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC , c 4 , c 5 or c 6 organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

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In other projects. Instead, they were what we [call] 'subjective odds' — which is to say, educated guesses. It also noted that several key employees including managing editor Micah Cohen, politics editor Sarah E. Archived from the original on June 14, Elliott Morris are trying to make sense of the election -- and each other". Monthly traffic to the site grew steadily from about 2. Archived from the original on July 17, One approach to this problem was followed by Pollster. Jennifer Ashton contributing anchor. FiveThirtyEight published a graph showing different growth curves of the news stories covering Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street protests. While politics and elections remained the main focus of FiveThirtyEight , the blog also sometimes addressed sports, including the March Madness [ 50] [ 51] [37] and the NCAA Men's Basketball tournament selection process, [ 52] the B. The site will return to its original URL, www. And assuming that his projected margin of error figures represent 95 percent confidence intervals, which it is likely they did, Silver performed just about exactly as well as he would expect to over 50 trials. Archived from the original on April 28,

In November , we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

Retrieved January 16, Retrieved July 18, The Daily. September 18, Archived from the original on May 29, Archived from the original on November 24, Archived from the original on June 2, Latest Headlines. Washington, D. Cohen provided a periodic "Reads and Reactions" column in which he summarized Silver's articles for the previous couple of weeks, as well as reactions to them in the media and other blogs, and suggested some additional readings related to the subject of Silver's columns. In other projects. ABC News. Forecasting Retrospective".